The effect of non-Gaussianity on error predictions for the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) 21-cm power spectrum

Sep 15, 2014
4 pages
Published in:
  • Mon.Not.Roy.Astron.Soc. 449 (2015) 1, L41-L45
  • Published: May 1, 2015
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Abstract: (Oxford University Press)
The Epoch of Reionization (EoR) 21-cm signal is expected to become increasingly non-Gaussian as reionization proceeds. We have used seminumerical simulations to study how this affects the error predictions for the EoR 21-cm power spectrum. We expect SNR=Nk{\rm SNR}=\sqrt{N_k} for a Gaussian random field where N_k is the number of Fourier modes in each k bin. We find that non-Gaussianity is important at high SNR where it imposes an upper limit [SNR]_l. For a fixed volume V, it is not possible to achieve SNR > [SNR]_l even if N_k is increased. The value of [SNR]_l falls as reionization proceeds, dropping from ∼500 at xˉHi=0.80.9\bar{x}_{{\rm H\,{\small {i}}}}= 0.8{\rm -}0.9 to ∼10 at xˉHi=0.15\bar{x}_{{\rm H\,{\small {i}}}}= 0.15 for a [150.08 Mpc]^3 simulation. We show that it is possible to interpret [SNR]_l in terms of the trispectrum, and we expect [SNR]lV[{\rm SNR}]_l \propto \sqrt{V} if the volume is increased. For SNR ≪ [SNR]_l we find SNR=Nk/A{\rm SNR}= \sqrt{N_k}/A with A ∼ 0.95–1.75, roughly consistent with the Gaussian prediction. We present a fitting formula for the SNR as a function of N_k, with two parameters A and [SNR]_l that have to be determined using simulations. Our results are relevant for predicting the sensitivity of different instruments to measure the EoR 21-cm power spectrum, which till date have been largely based on the Gaussian assumption.
Note:
  • methods: statistical
  • cosmology: theory
  • dark ages, reionization, first stars
  • diffuse radiation