On fits to correlated and auto-correlated data

Sep 28, 2022
15 pages
Published in:
  • Comput.Phys.Commun. 285 (2023) 108643
  • Published: Apr, 2023
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DOI:

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Abstract: (Elsevier B.V.)
Observables in particle physics and specifically in lattice QCD calculations are often extracted from fits. Standard χ2 tests require a reliable determination of the covariance matrix and its inverse from correlated and auto-correlated data, a challenging task often leading to close-to-singular estimates. These motivate modifications of the definition of χ2 such as uncorrelated fits. We show how the goodness-of-fit measured by their p-value can still be estimated robustly for a broad class of such fits.
Note:
  • 15 pages, 4 figures, matching published version
  • Chi-squared test
  • Goodness of fit
  • Autocorrelations
  • lattice field theory
  • covariance